Dan Perkins: Can Nancy Pelosi be replaced as Speaker of the House before the mid-terms in 2022?

The answer is yes. Here is how it could happen. Currently, the Democrats hold 220 seats in the House. They need to have 218 seats to keep the majority and elect the Speaker of the House. Currently, the Republicans hold 212 seats, and 3 seats are open for special elections. These three seats will be filled before the 2022 mid-term election. If they went to Republicans, the total would be 215 to 220. Democrats hold the majority by two votes. The Republicans would only need 3 votes to move and vote on a non-partisan basis, and they could call for a vote to vacate the Speaker's chair.

You may be wondering if this has ever been tried before to replace the Speaker between elections? Could it be possible to get rid of Nancy Pelosi before the November 2022 election? Again, I say yes, it could happen. How would it happen?

Any member of the House can introduce a bill calling for the vacating of the Speaker Chair. The most recent occurrence was when Congressman Mark Meadows (R-Ohio) filed a request to oust then-Speaker John A. Boehner. Meadows motion on July 28, 2015, said that. "The resolution accuses Boehner of having "endeavored to consolidate power and centralize decision-making" and using "the power of the office to punish Members who vote according to their conscience instead of the will of the Speaker," among other offenses."

Many of the charges and more could be brought up and sent to the floor for an immediate vote or to an oversight committee for review and recommendation to the full House. The question is, how many Democrats would vote for her removal? Could 3 Democrats be convinced to vote with the Republicans?

Nancy failed to pass several times what she herself called the "Reconciliation bill is the 'culmination of my service in Congress." The Congressional Progressive Caucus (CPC) announced that a majority of respondents to a survey of its nearly 100 members said they are prepared to withhold their votes from the bipartisan infrastructure bill until the Senate approves a full reconciliation package not just the budget resolution.

Nancy has postponed the vote on the Infrastructure and Reconciliation bills until the end of October. If she can't get a vote for the $3.2 trillion, the idea is that the Democrats will have to cut the size of the bills forcing them to cut perhaps $2 Trillion out of the bill and lose even more support. The far left will not stand for cuts. Bernie Sanders thinks it should be more and is encouraging Senators not to vote for a reduced amount. Her failure to pass the bill will be seen that she no longer has control of the Democrats in the House. I believe we will see calls come for her to immediately retire before she is embarrassed by a vote of removal for no-confidence and possibly loose.

My understanding is that the vote is a simple majority plus 1 or 219 votes. If the Republicans bring the vacating issue to the floor, Nancy will fight tooth and nail to stop the vote. If she doesn't have the votes, I believe she will retire from the Speaker chair to stop the embarrassment of being removed. I do not think she will not stand for re-election to her California seat in 2022. As soon as she is gone, there will quickly be a new election for a new Speaker. The real question is will the new Speaker be a Democrat or Republican? This should be a real interesting Halloween with some tremendous Tricks and Treats.