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Prediction Model Calls for YUGE Trump Victory in 2020

A huge Trump victory in 2020 was pointed out by Moody’s Analytics economic models, as one of the most, if not the most important, matters on which people should look at to decide who to vote for. 

As James Carville said: “the economy, stupid.” 

Moody’s chief economist Mark Zandi said to CNBC: “If the economy a year from now is the same as it is today, or roughly so, then the power of incumbency is strong and Trump’s election odds are very good, particularly if Democrats aren’t enthusiastic and don’t get out to vote. It’s about turnout.” 

“Our ‘pocketbook’ model is the most economically driven of the three. If voters were to vote primarily on the basis of their pocketbooks, the president would steamroll the competition. This shows the importance that prevailing economic sentiment at the household level could hold in the next election,” Moody’s reported, with the three economic models predicting at least 289 electoral votes for Trump, with the possibility of going as far as 351. 

Trump had defeated Hillary Clinton 304-227 before in the electoral vote, with economic indicators showing that the President will win 55% of the popular vote, which would prevent a “significant downturn” in the nation’s economy, as said by the Oxford Economics. 

“While a wide range of issues have influenced presidential elections over the last few decades, from healthcare and foreign policy, to taxation and government spending, one factor has been constant: It’s the economy, stupid,” Greg Daco and James Watson of the Oxford Economics wrote last week. 

The three main indicators and focus points are unemployment, inflation and real disposable income growth – all three outweighing “negative exhaustion factor” and being a strong point for Trump, who has stabilized the economy. 

The model has only failed to predict the outcome of the popular vote winner twice since 1948. 

Reactionary Times News Desk

All breaking news stories that matter to America. The News Desk is covered by the sharpest eyes in news media, as they decipher fact from fiction.

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