Elections

What Are The New Electoral College Map Changes?

The Dynamics Within Battleground States Are Set To Shift

Based in 2020 census population counts, 13 states will see a change in their number of votes in the Electoral College. The trend discovered by the new counts were that the Rust Belt and upper Midwestern states will relinquish some of their electoral college votes to Sun Belt and Western states in the 2024 and 2028 elections.

New Electoral Map Penalizes New York and California

Mega-populous states California and New York also lost some electoral votes, with the beneficiaries of added votes including the states of Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Oregon, Colorado and Montana.

These changes would not have had much consequences in this past November's election, however. If the most recent contest was ran under the new rules, Biden still would have defeated former-President Donald Trump by 68 electoral votes, or 6 less than his 74-vote margin.

Conversely, Trump's winning map from 2016 would have been slightly higher, 307 electoral votes, with his smaller Rust Belt total offset up by gains in Texas, Florida and North Carolina, which has seen a recent surge in population growth.

According to reports, in the 2020 election, Biden earned 81 million votes nationally, which was the most ever in a presidential election, and defeated Trump by about 7 million votes. Biden won by flipping five states, including some key Midwestern battlegrounds Trump had taken from the Democrats in 2016. Although the electoral college vote victory seemed somewhat comfortable for Biden, in reality, he had very little margin for error as he won Georgia, Arizona and Wisconsin by less than a combined 43,000 votes.

If Trump had won those three states again, he would have won a 2nd term, and Joe Biden would have joined Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Al Gore in 2000 as Democrats who received the most total votes but lost the Electoral College.

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Julio Rivera

Julio Rivera is a small business consultant, political activist, writer and Editorial Director for Reactionary Times.  His writing, which is concentrated on politics and cybersecurity, has also been published by websites including Newsmax, The Hill, The Washington Times, LifeZette, The Washington Examiner, American Thinker, The Toronto Sun, PJ Media and many others.

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One Comment

  1. Now we need to support and urge state legislators in states with the 75 more electoral votes needed, to enact the National Popular Vote bill to guarantee the presidency to the candidate who wins the most popular votes in the country.

    The current state-by-state winner-take-all system of electing the President repeatedly generates uncertainty, recounts, lack of confidence in elections, and litigation in which lawyers and judges—not voters—decide elections.

    Most Americans think it is wrong that the candidate with the most national popular votes can lose a presidential election.
    We don't allow this in any other election in our representative republic.

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